The Central Bank of Brazil Maintains Its Benchmark Interest Rate at 10.5%, Halting the Cycle of Cuts

Exchange rate deterioration and fiscal uncertainties could lead to signals of rate hikes in future decisions

The Central Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) is expected to keep the Selic rate at the current 10.50% per annum during its meeting this Wednesday (31), according to market analysts. A recent Bloomberg survey of 19 economists supports this expectation, predicting a unanimous decision.

However, the committee is likely to issue a more stringent statement regarding the worsening economic outlook, indicating the possibility of a future Selic rate increase, as suggested by experts consulted by Folha. In the last meeting on June 19, the Copom reached a consensus to halt the cycle of interest rate cuts, despite pressure from President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's government for a reduction.

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