Datafolha: Lula Would Win 48% of Vote in The 1st Round, Followed by Bolsonaro, Moro and Ciro

PT's advantage would give him victory in the first round today, research shows

São Paulo

Former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) maintains a clear lead in the Brazilian presidential race at this time, with Jair Bolsonaro (PL), in second place. The entry of former judge Sergio Moro (Podemos) into the dispute caused the so-called third way.

This was shown in a survey by Datafolha carried out on December 13th and 16th with 3,666 people over the age of 16, in person in 191 cities across the country. The margin of error is plus or minus two points.

Two simulations were carried out, one closing the range of candidates, and the other expanding it to the names previously mentioned. In them, Lula's advantage over his rivals would be enough to guarantee a PT victory in the first round.

Government officials expect Brazil Aid, the troubled replacement of Bolsa Família made possible with fiscal hacks, to mitigate the impact of the crisis among the most vulnerable electorate, precisely the people who most support Lula.

Translated by Kiratiana Freelon

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