For the first time in eight months, the rate of Covid cases in Brazil is decelerating. The country was in a flat or accelerated stage since November last year, but this situation has reversed with the advance of vaccination.
The conclusion comes from Folha's Covid acceleration monitor. The platform measures the variation of newly infected people in the last 30 days, based on a statistical model developed by USP researchers Renato Vicente and Rodrigo Veiga.
The model compares the seven-day moving averages in this period in municipalities with more than 100,000 inhabitants, giving more weight to the most recent data. At each location, the pandemic is classified as "initial," "accelerated," "flat," "decelerated," or "reduced."
Since April 7, Covid infections in the country have been at a flat level. This occurs when there is still a significant number of people being infected, but the number of new cases daily does not change or does not grow strongly. On Thursday (15), however, it entered the decelerated stage, which means that infections are in constant decline.
Translated by Kiratiana Freelon