Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) has reached the first round of the general election, which takes place this Sunday (2), with a chance of directly winning the dispute. He has 50% of the valid votes, compared to 36% for his main rival, President Jair Bolsonaro (PL). Simone Tebet (MDB) has 6%, technically tied with Ciro Gomes (PDT, 5%).
The scenario, of remarkable stability in recent weeks, was recorded by the last survey by Datafolha before the election. The PT mark is the threshold to reach half plus one of the valid votes, those that exclude blanks and nulls (and undecided, in the case of the survey), the minimum to avoid the second round.
The poll's margin of error is plus or minus two points. The institute interviewed 12,800 people in 310 cities. The survey has the registration BR-00245/2022 at the Supreme Electoral Court and was hired by Folha and TV Globo.
This stability also shows the limit of the impact of the final debate of the first round, held on Thursday (29) by TV Globo. The clash was quite aggressive, with Lula, Bolsonaro, Ciro, and others facing each other on harsh terms. There was no impact on the rejection of the leaders, just a one-point swing up for PT.
In the previous round, held from Tuesday (27) to Thursday, Datafolha had measured 50% of voting intentions for the PT candidate and 36% for the current president. 87% say they are sure of their votes, and almost all of them have been for a long time.
Translated by Cassy Dias